Sunday, 27 July 2014

A watercolour and pen sketch of Broadstairs Pier this afternoon a problem with the little people and the long shed?

 This watercolour and pen sketch of Broadstairs Pier suffered a few problems of scale, it may have been the very hot night meaning that I am a bit bleary today, or it may be related to nerves generated by sketching among so many people.
 I have only been doing a lot of field sketching outside in high profile busy places for a relatively short period of time.

I think doing the people on the pier in pen and watercolour and doing the people in the sea in just watercolour may have been a mistake too.

The is it sea or sky thing, no horizon was bordering on an experiment.  
 Sandwich, coffee and view for a bit over £5 at Chiappinis which I think collectively were worth it.   

A quick sketch from Corby’s Tea Room looking across Albert Court towards Gerry’s Art and Coffee House.

A bit rushed towards the end I’m afraid as everywhere was closing, my bookshop had been very busy on both Friday and Saturday and I have to put my hands up to skiving off for a sketch when things quietened down at around four.

I put the increased activity in the bookshop down mostly to there being very few non food and clothing related shops left, which are both big enough to lose yourself in and where if you do find something to buy it is likely to be cheaper than you could get the same thing online.   
Nowadays the majority of my customers who spend over a tenner use their smart phones to check the prices online before they buy, on most networks the phone signal in the shop is fairly good, however I have now added wifi to the shop. So if you are trying to check a book price and you can’t get a phone signal please ask for the code.

During the last week several people have asked me if they can buy my sketches, at the moment the answer is, if you like it print it out and bung it on the wall, for non commercial purposes I won’t claim any copyright. Over the next few weeks, I will endeavour to print some as greeting cards.

I don’t think this has so much to do with my artistic ability as it has with to do with my often painting from cafés where people are familiar with the view. 

There is a local survey here https://www.surveymonkey.com/s/6RBSFKJ about local politics that may interest readers.

Back to the books, I have just heard that one of the local schools, has thrown out loads of books, I won’t name and shame here. But please be aware if you raid the skip, that they are rubber stamped with the schools name and don’t have their cancellation stamp on them, so to all intents and purposes they say swag on them.
I should point out that we never buy library books unless the have official cancellation stamps on them, or if the prelims have been removed or there are other signs that school or public library marks have been removed.

This doesn’t apply to the great and famous library sales like Brooklyn Public Library, which we would know about anyway, as would any serious collector.

Interesting edition this as the illustration are on “India Proofs” the only copy I have ever seen.

Saturday, 26 July 2014

Manston Airport RiverOak letter to Thanet District Council.

This is the new and important letter relating to the airport, it doesn't copy easily and I am having to type bits of it out manually, I will endeavour to tidy up the formatting and add some thoughts of my own when I get time.

24 July 2014

Cllr Iris Johnston
Leader
Thanet District Council

RE: MANSTON AIRPORT CPO

Dear Iris:

I am writing to you in order to put RiverOak’s position in relation to Manston Airport firmly on
the record. We have been following events very closely since our informal meeting on 18 June
but during that time we have made no formal or public statement as to our position. In light of
the motion approved by your Council on 10 July and the fact that our name was mentioned
publicly we feel that it is now appropriate for us to make our intentions clear. RiverOak seeks to
be Thanet’s commercial partner through the CPO process and is willing to negotiate partnership
and indemnity agreements in good faith and in short order.

About RiverOak

RiverOak is a broad-based strategic asset manager specializing in the restructuring and
rehabilitation of troubled assets. We presently manage over $350 million in current assets and
have completed well over $1 billion in transactions over the last fifteen years. The principals at
RiverOak have extensive experience in both operational turnaround and asset enhancement
including ground up management of complex asset restructuring and large scale infrastructure
rehabilitation which includes specific experience with airport turnarounds and restructuring in
the northeast and southwest US. Our strategies focus on fostering the growth of productive, and
sustainable long term commercial enterprises. We are firm in our belief that Manston has a
viable future across many lines of air freight, aviation services including maintenance, recycling,
private charter and commercial passenger services, once the airport is on a firm financial footing.
We bring very relevant experience in underwriting, financing and structuring cargo airports,
airport fuel depots and MRO operations.

Our Dealings with Ann Gloag

We first expressed an interest in Manston in the third week of April when the closure
consultation was underway but before the airport actually closed. Mrs. Gloag’s team
immediately gave us full financial disclosure. On 29 April we visited Manston and on 2 May we
met Mrs. Gloag at her Perthshire home.

1

During this time our team carried out a full analysis of Manston’s operating performance and
produced a turnaround plan which showed the airport moving from annual trading losses of over
£3 million to break even in approximately sixteen months. We budgeted for those losses; we
added a significant contingency in case the turnaround took longer and we allowed for essential
capital expenditure. We also budgeted for the purchase price and essential legal costs.

We made three offers to Mrs. Gloag, culminating on 15 May with an offer to pay the full asking
price. All three offers were rejected for reasons which have never been made clear to us. We
have had no contact with Mrs. Gloag or her team since 15 May.

RiverOak’s Actions since the Closure of Manston on 15 May

Within days of the closure it became clear that the community in Thanet faced a stark choice:
either accept the closure with all the consequent economic damage, or seek to gain ownership
and control of Manston through a compulsory purchase. It soon became apparent that there was
strong groundswell of local support for CPO and that the only body with statutory CPO powers
was Thanet District Council. It was also made clear by you that Thanet had neither the funds nor
the expertise to embark on a CPO procedure without the full support of a well-funded partner.

Despite the closure of Manston we remained convinced that it could be successful and profitable
and that we should put ourselves forward as Thanet’s partner. However, as a US fund with
limited understanding of English law, and as a matter of standard practice,, we decided to take
the best legal advice possible. We hired Wragge Graham for both the public and private sectors.
We also consulted with James Maurici QC and Lord David Pannick QC, both experienced and
distinguished practitioners in the field of public law. I have set out below a summary of the
questions we raised and the answers we received.

1. In these particular circumstances is Thanet obliged to put a proposed partnership with a private
sector partner out to tender? No, because the contract is not for public supply and is essentially
for the acquisition of land and the reinstatement of an operating airport. Thanet can therefore
enter into an agreement with RiverOak without any further process.

2. Do the EU’s State Aid restrictions apply here? No, not if RiverOak is going to fully indemnify
the Council against all costs incurred in the CPO process no public money will be used and
therefore there will be no State Aid issues

3. Is Thanet Council able to enter into an agreement with RiverOak whereby RiverOak covers all
the Council’s costs, including the eventual purchase price; takes a transfer of the freehold title
from the Council and enters into an obligation to reinstate the airport and operate it as an airport?
Yes, and agreements of this kind are becoming the norm in CPO procedures throughout England
and Wales. In a letter to Sir Roger Gale dated July 9, 2014, the then Planning Minister, Nick
Boles MP, said “I can confirm that it is quite usual for a private developer to indemnify a local
authority for the costs of a compulsory purchase order, including both the compensation to be
paid to those whose land is taken and the administrative costs of the order.”

2

4. Are there any circumstances in which individual councilors could be held personally
responsible? Given that there will be a full indemnity from RiverOak there is no prospect of a
personal financial risk to Councilors.

We have given careful consideration to this advice. To be clear, what is proposed involves a
transfer of ALL the risk surrounding the CPO from Thanet District Council to RiverOak. If the
CPO fails for some unforeseen reason we will have to meet all the legal costs. Similarly if the
eventual price of the land is higher than expected, we will have to pay it. We are not asking for
any public funds to support this process; not from Thanet, not from KCC and not from the
British Government

We have carried out our own risk assessment and we are prepared to carry that risk Why?
Because we believe that a well conducted CPO process will succeed and because we believe that
a reinstated Manston Airport can become successful and profitable over time.

RiverOak’s Commitment to the Manston Project

When we offered Mrs. Gloag her asking price on 15 May it was for a fully equipped, fully
operational and fully licensed international airport. Two months later over 90% of the staff have
terminated, the license has been revoked and most of the equipment has been sold . You might
say that the business has been systematically stripped. So why in the face of this are we willing,
on behalf of our investors, to accept all the risks of a CPO? Allow me to offer you the following
facts and observations:

* There are strong indications that the carriers and freight forwarders who used Manston prior to
its closure will return as soon as it is operational. One of the carriers has already promised to
increase the number of their flights by 30%.

* The factors which led those carriers new to Manston to indicate a willingness to switch to
Manston when we worked on our turnaround plan at the end of April have not altered. The
pressures they face at other airports continue to increase, and for perishable business in
particular, other airports are simply unable to match the quality and speed of service for which
Manston was legendary.

* Cargo capacity constraints continue to mount at airports in the South East of England. The
Department for Transport forecasts that by 2020, £42 billion of air cargo will be lost to London
airports because of capacity constraints. Manston’s restoration to full operating status will leave
it well placed to capture part of that business

* We believe that the task of reassembling the Manston workforce can be readily
accomplished.. Many are still without work and others who have accepted jobs further afield
have indicated a willingness to return. There is a loyalty and commitment to Manston on the part
of former staff which has survived the brutality of the closure.

3


* The Aviation Minister and the Civil Aviation Authority have indicated a willingness to work
closely with us to achieve a speedy restoration of the license.

* The demand for aviation engineering services continues to strengthen. This covers a range of
activities from maintenance and repair (MRO) to aircraft teardown and re-cycling in partnership
with a major airframe manufacturer, with whom we are in the process of commissioning a major
piece of research.

* There are interesting changes taking place in the passenger market with Easyjet’s competitors
considering their response to Easyjet’s newly dominant position at Gatwick. We have strong
grounds to believe that one of those competitors will consider Manston as a possible base for
operations south of the Thanes commencing in the summer of 2016.

* Demand by business jet users in the south east of England market continues to grow rapidly
and we have already identified potential customers who would make use of an Fixed Base
Operating facility at Manston.

RiverOak’s Plan to re-open Manston

We will work closely with the Council under the terms of our proposed partnership and
indemnity agreement to ensure that the compulsory purchase order is achieved as quickly as
possible. This includes a possible public inquiry and legal challenges. As soon as we obtain
possession of the site we will:

* Work with the CAA towards an early and full reinstatement of the aerodrome license

* Begin an urgent and comprehensive procurement process for essential equipment to replace
what has been sold off in recent weeks

* Begin the work of recruiting and reinstating an operational team necessary to meet licensing
requirements and to handle restored and new business

* Set a date for Manston’s re-opening with maximum publicity and media exposure locally, in
the UK and internationally.

RiverOak’s Plan for a re-opened Manston

Perishable cargo represented Manston’s core business for several years before closure. Its
reinstatement and expansion will be RiverOak’s top priority. Perishable cargo represented Manston’s core business for several years before its closure. Its reinstatement and expansion
will be RiverOak’s top priority. This will be accompanied by the re-commissioning of the border post and by a major marketing effort directed at growers in the countries of origin, as well as
freight forwarders and carriers. #
4

* Previously, inbound aircraft carrying perishables usually departed Manston empty to take on
return loads at other airports. Promoting outbound loads from Manston will be made a top
priority.

* New non-perishable cargo business will be handled for already identified carriers who seek a
reliable base within the European Union, close to a major population center, at an airport which
can offer them the quality and speed of service not available at competitor airports. The
relocation of these new carriers to Manston will be secured during the first 12 months following
the airport’s re-opening.

* RiverOak’s firmly held view is that Manston’s cargo traffic will represent the foundation upon
which the financial stability of the business will be based. Subject to this caveat, RiverOak
remains interested in exploring the overtures from the low cost passenger carrier referred to
above. If market conditions in the passenger sector enable a sensible and profitable deal to be
done it is possible that passengers could return to Manston during the summer of 2016. RiverOak
will never make the kinds of extravagant passenger forecasts of our predecessors, but at the same
time we remain firmly of the view that there can be a role for Manston to offer flights to leisure
destinations in southern Europe.

* Aircraft engineering, in the form of teardown and MRO, is the other core element in
RiverOak’s plan. This will take longer to put in place but represents a major opportunity for
Manston to secure first mover advantage in a market which is growing very rapidly as a direct
consequence of soaring sales of new aircraft.

* Typically new aircraft are much more fuel efficient and require less maintenance. However
their maintenance requires new and sophisticated technology which is often not available at
legacy MRO operations. It is because of this opportunity that discussions about a major
investment in a new state-of-the-art MRO facility at Manston have been ongoing with a major
manufacturer for several months. The intention is that Manston would become a recognized
international center for the maintenance of new generation aircraft.

* Teardown or parting-out describes the process by which mid-life or end of life aircraft are
carefully dismantled with as many parts as possible being either re-used or re-cycled. This is
partly a response to market conditions but mainly the discharge on the part of aircraft
manufacturers of their international obligations to ensure that old aircraft are no longer left to rot
in the desert or dumped in landfill sites. The discussions with the major aircraft manufacturer
envisage the creation of a number of teardown lines in newly built and equipped airside hangars
at Manston. Capital investment and new job creation will both be significant aspects of this
focus on repairs, maintenance and teardowns.

* Executive jet business is one of the fastest growth areas in aviation and demand in the south
east of England is particularly strong. Manston’s strength is that it is outside London air space
and has excellent road connections. We have already identified a number of opportunities and
intend to invest in the facilities necessary to support this type of business which can be very
profitable.
5

Next Steps

Our view is that the signing of an agreement between the Council and RiverOak has to be the top
priority. The Council’s instruction to the Cabinet made it clear that support for the CPO is
conditional upon the Council obtaining a full indemnity from a commercial partner. Equally,
from RiverOak’s point of view, we are ready to commit ourselves to the process but we cannot
do so until an agreement between us is in place.

Earlier in this letter I expressed my belief that there is nothing preventing the Council from
entering into an agreement with RiverOak immediately. This would enable work on the CPO to
begin without further delay. Indeed it is my view that time will be our greatest enemy. The CPO
process itself is likely to take many months. We are prepared for that. What we are not prepared
for is undue or in our view unnecessary or bureaucratic delay at this preliminary stage.

Conclusion

I feel it is important to have set out our position at length. We are strongly committed to this
project; we believe very strongly in the commercial case for Manston; we have already allocated
significant financial and human resources to the project; we have the full support of our
investors; we are ready to give Thanet a full indemnity. We are now anxious to start and have a
goal of having an agreement with the Council in place in the next 21 days.
In order to assist the process I have attached to this letter a copy of the Opinion of James Maurici
QC and Heads of Terms drafted by our solicitors.

With kindest regards,

Sincerely,

Stephen DeNardo
Chief Executive Officer

OK before discussing the letter in detail, first other airport news. 

Manston Airport’s website http://www.manstonairport.com/ has gone, more than 24 hours now and from the info below not likely to be a technical issue.
Whois Server: whois.tucows.com

Name Server: NS1.LIVEDNS.CO.UK

Name Server: NS2.LIVEDNS.CO.UK

Name Server: NS3.LIVEDNS.CO.UK

Status: clientTransferProhibited

Status: clientUpdateProhibited

Updated Date: 23-jul-2014

Creation Date: 12-oct-2009

Expiration Date: 12-oct-2015


Obviously this was expected in some ways but it did have the documentation there confirming the intention to build on the northern pasture, from about a year ago. 



Some thoughts on RiverOak and some links related to them.

This is their LIMITED LIABILITY COMPANY OPERATING AGREEMENT as a fund manager.


This is the link to their website


This is a link to the page with links to all of their press releases on it

http://www.riveroakic.com/news.html  

http://persistent.blogs.com/persistent/2008/02/everyone-should.html

The next links relate to the team that Sir Roger Gale put together to promote the RiverOak offer http://www.bo.de/wirtschaft/wirtschaft-regional/die-grossen-unbekannten you will need to use an online automatic translation site like https://translate.google.com as the article is in German, Tony Freudmann, Sanjeev Joshi and Daryn Soards also come up as names in this story http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-kent-27411419  

My take on this one is to try and put as much information related to the current situation on Manston so if anyone has anything else worth adding to the post my email is on the sidebar.

Many thanks for this one, which is an official US government form submitted by RiverOak with a box for Airlines and Airports which they haven’t checked while they have checked the Real Estate box http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1550363/000114420414000099/xslFormDX01/primary_doc.xml

Thursday, 24 July 2014

A few sketches of Margate today and the finalists and winners of this year's art competition for Kent students and teachers at Turner Contemporary

 This is from outside Cupcake, the scale and position of the lamp on left went wrong.
 This is a very fast rough from the new sea defence steps
This is the next attempt from the same place, very difficult to draw the sloping rosfs of Turner Contemporary from this viewpoint.
This is from outside Cafe G

I didn't get time to finish any of the sketches apart from the rough, days off during the school holidays can be fairly demanding.

Here are the photos of the work of finalists and winners of this year's art competition for Kent students and teachers at Turner Contemporary












Outside the gallery they appear to be building a large Wendy House out of MDF





Also unfortunately two arts closures in Margate, the first being the gallery "outside The Square" which was one of my favorites thed the other being the Thanet Council owned "Margate Media Centre"